LAC (+5) vs SAS
Definitely not ready to spot the Spurs five, when the only difference in the last game was Blake Griffin turning the ball over up two with eight seconds left. It was ugly sure, but it doesn't tell the story of this series. Spurs are way too banged up to be able to handle a pissed off Clippers team.
HOU vs DAL (+2)
We always have to go with the picks that seem a little too good to be true, and this is definitely one of those lines. Houston has dominated every facet of this series so it was pretty shocking to see H town only favored by 2 here right? Then we realized that Rondo has been sidelined for the rest of the series, remember how good the Mavs were for the first six weeks of the season before him? Look for that team to show up tonight.
TOR vs WAS (-5)
I don't care if they moved this line all the way down to double digitz, I would still take it. The raptors have been exposed on both ends of the court, and today I read an article about how the GM expects big changes after the season. Never good when those articles come out while the team is actually still playing games! If you want to call what Toronto has done in this series playing that is. J Wall and Co roll in chocolate city.
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Like most degenerate gamblers out there, we want to spend the bulk of our cash on actual gambling, not paying for half-assed picks. So we created this blog, not only to track our own rampant failure, but to share it with the world! Remember, just because you follow our advice, doesn't mean we owe you anything when you lose your house!
Showing posts with label Mavericks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mavericks. Show all posts
Friday, April 24, 2015
NBA Playoffs Round One
Friday, May 2, 2014
NBA Playoff Picks
BJ and Catz's NBA Elimination Friday Picks
The first round is finally coming to a close, and for basketball fans, it's a bittersweet feeling. The first round of these NBA playoffs has been one of the most exciting, if not the most exciting we have have ever seen. Hell, even the Bobcats had a fun series with the Heat! The collapse of the Pacers, the young Raptors vs the Old Nets, every Western Conference team being good; these are all story lines worth watching, with even more watchable games. Today has the chance to add to the drama with a couple teams on the ropes. Let's get back into some picks with a Créme Fraîche Friday:
TOR at BK (-4.5) (UNDER 192) (WINNER!, WINNER!)
SA (-160) at DAL (OVER 197.5) (L) (WINNER!)
This one will go into OT! So there is your over, as far as the game itself, 3 points is too much, especially when Dirk and Carlisle are facing elimination at home. That's the thing, you would typically say, no way in hell are the Mavs going out like this! But the Spurs don't play by our rules, they do whatever the fuck they want! So expect Duncan to have 20-10, Parker to have 25 and Ginobli to go on a run by himself to dagger the Mavs.
HOU at POR (-115) (OVER 213) (WINNER!) (L)
Have the Rockets figured out how to stop LaMarcus Aldridge? Possibly, but I think the fatigue from those first 4 games has really caught up with Catz's favorite Pacific Northwest Product, LMFAO. The Rockets are able to throw a combination of Asik, Jones and Howard at the über consistent big man and it is finally working. The Rockets probably win this one, but the Blazers have been doubted before and I won't be doing it this time. Take the Blazers and watch everyone else as they are shocked when the final seconds tick off a probable double OT game.
Wednesday, April 30, 2014
NBA Picks
Another day, another three team winners in the NBA. All three are underdogs according to the spread, and road teams. If you really want to rake in some extra cash, throw these three in a parlay and enjoy.
DAL (+6.5) at SA (OVER 198) (WINNER!) (WINNER!)
This series has been way too close to justify opening up at -7. Each game has come down to the final two minutes, and although you know the Spurs will come out huge tonight, I expect the Mavs to roll with the punches.
BJ: Last time I made a smart ass comment about these guys always going over and how Vegas didn't know what it was doing. Well I lost that one, but this one is rolling over.
BKN (+3) at TOR (UNDER 190) (WINNER!) (L)
This one hurts to even pick. I watched the Raptors play early in the season and they were arguably the lease cohesive team I saw all year. Then they traded Gay and become a legit force in the Eastern conference. But picking against the Nets is not a fun game for me. The Nets are like that really annoying Godzilla trailer, sure it was great early on, but at this point it's so overplayed that I cringe whenever I hear the horns signaling his arrival.
BJ: This will be a knock down, grimy, old school type of game. Glad to see Catz took the points because this one will be close.
POR (+5) at HOU (OVER 214.5) (L) (L)
The Blazers have completely outplayed the Rockets in this series. Although most of the games have been very close, the Blazers are the better team and might very well finish this series tonight. Look for LMA to hit 34 midrange jumpers and Lillard to go on at least two 7-0 runs by himself. Blazers end the Rockets season tonight in H-town.
BJ: I shouldn't have to say anything about this.
DAL (+6.5) at SA (OVER 198) (WINNER!) (WINNER!)
This series has been way too close to justify opening up at -7. Each game has come down to the final two minutes, and although you know the Spurs will come out huge tonight, I expect the Mavs to roll with the punches.
BJ: Last time I made a smart ass comment about these guys always going over and how Vegas didn't know what it was doing. Well I lost that one, but this one is rolling over.
BKN (+3) at TOR (UNDER 190) (WINNER!) (L)
This one hurts to even pick. I watched the Raptors play early in the season and they were arguably the lease cohesive team I saw all year. Then they traded Gay and become a legit force in the Eastern conference. But picking against the Nets is not a fun game for me. The Nets are like that really annoying Godzilla trailer, sure it was great early on, but at this point it's so overplayed that I cringe whenever I hear the horns signaling his arrival.
BJ: This will be a knock down, grimy, old school type of game. Glad to see Catz took the points because this one will be close.
POR (+5) at HOU (OVER 214.5) (L) (L)
The Blazers have completely outplayed the Rockets in this series. Although most of the games have been very close, the Blazers are the better team and might very well finish this series tonight. Look for LMA to hit 34 midrange jumpers and Lillard to go on at least two 7-0 runs by himself. Blazers end the Rockets season tonight in H-town.
BJ: I shouldn't have to say anything about this.
Monday, April 28, 2014
NBA Picks
Fuck Mondays. You know who likes Mondays? Terrorists. You aren't a terrorist right? Cause this is 'merica! Now that we have that established let's brighten up that Monday a little bit.
CATZ
MIA (-8) at CHA (UNDER 187) (WINNER!) (L)
When was the last time Miami had an extended rest period? The fact that they have a chance to sit back for a few days and watch the other eastern teams battle it out for the right to face them is huge! Couple that with the fact that the Big Ole Al "Postmaster General" Jefferson will probably sit tonight, and you have the Heat running away with this one. Look for the Heat to come out and set the tone early with swarming defense as they sweep the series and get some well deserved R & R.
BJ
ATL (+6.5) at IND (OVER 186) (WINNER!) (WINNER)
As this is a must win for the Pacers, I fully expect them to blow it. Actually, I don't want to say that because the Pacers still technically have a lot of talent. They should win this game with a great performance by Paul George. People are really down on Roy Hibbert as well, which might be a good thing for the Pacers. There's only so much the man can do when Pero Antic is standing on the three point line all day and Paul Trillsap is getting in the lane with Jeff Teague. Take ATL in case they win outright again and take the over in case IND explodes for a big win.
SA (-4) at DAL (OVER 201) (P) (L)
I don't understand why Vegas thinks these teams aren't going to be over 208+ every game. Both teams play a fast pace, average over 100 and give up 98+ per game. The Spurs have to win this game and I would like to see that happen. Vince Carter pulled some bullshit last game, but the Spurs are the last team to be worried about being down 1 game. I think Parker and Ginobli go off tonight and Monta Ellis shoots 8-27 to kill the Mavs.
CATZ
MIA (-8) at CHA (UNDER 187) (WINNER!) (L)
When was the last time Miami had an extended rest period? The fact that they have a chance to sit back for a few days and watch the other eastern teams battle it out for the right to face them is huge! Couple that with the fact that the Big Ole Al "Postmaster General" Jefferson will probably sit tonight, and you have the Heat running away with this one. Look for the Heat to come out and set the tone early with swarming defense as they sweep the series and get some well deserved R & R.
BJ
ATL (+6.5) at IND (OVER 186) (WINNER!) (WINNER)
As this is a must win for the Pacers, I fully expect them to blow it. Actually, I don't want to say that because the Pacers still technically have a lot of talent. They should win this game with a great performance by Paul George. People are really down on Roy Hibbert as well, which might be a good thing for the Pacers. There's only so much the man can do when Pero Antic is standing on the three point line all day and Paul Trillsap is getting in the lane with Jeff Teague. Take ATL in case they win outright again and take the over in case IND explodes for a big win.
SA (-4) at DAL (OVER 201) (P) (L)
I don't understand why Vegas thinks these teams aren't going to be over 208+ every game. Both teams play a fast pace, average over 100 and give up 98+ per game. The Spurs have to win this game and I would like to see that happen. Vince Carter pulled some bullshit last game, but the Spurs are the last team to be worried about being down 1 game. I think Parker and Ginobli go off tonight and Monta Ellis shoots 8-27 to kill the Mavs.
Saturday, April 12, 2014
NBA Saturday!
It happens to the best of us. One night, you're cruising a long with everything figured out. You're thinking you have a couple big balls you can rely on when logic just doesn't make sense, and BAM! You go 3 for 13 picking NBA games in one night. Yeah, ol Catz struggled to get anything going last night and has demoted himself to the AFL. No worries, after taking a few days off from MLB picks, I am going to fill in until the metaphorical Catz can get back on his metaphorical horse, metaphorically speaking. Go easy on ol BJ though, I haven't been in the NBA game for a while, so things are bound to get a little sloppy. As the old African Proverb says: "A sloppy BJ, is better than a broken and disheartened Bobcat."
Sacramento at Los Angeles Clippers (-11) (WINNER!)
Way too many points right? Yeah that's what I was thinking, especially since the Kings have played the Clippers so well this season! In 3 matchups, the margin has been 6 or less! So, as gamblers, do we roll with the "They always play the Clippers close" narrative or the "LA needs to win to stay in contention for the 2 seed" narrative? It's not a choice many are brave enough to make. I'm going LAC because Isaiah Thomas is injured, as is Rudy Gay (which really might be a plus for SacTown). CP3, Blake and Demarcus Cousins' frustration should be enough to get a massive win for the Clips.
Philadelphia at Charlotte (-12) (L)
I'm doing this one for Mr. Catz himself, because I know he would be looking at scores tonight saying, "Damn, I would've totally picked the Bobcats." Let's not forget my affinity for the Cats and the Raps this year, which have both been very fun to pick. Charlotte had a 5 game winning streak snapped by Boston, a game which I am going to look past because the Cats probably weren't expecting the Celtics to show up. I mean, why Celtics? Why are you trying to beat playoff teams?! Do you want to be stuck with Doug McDermott or Gary Harris in the draft? Not bad players, but not franchise changers. Anyways, the Cats are playing some good ball and Al Jefferson should hit for 30-10 tonight. That's a guarantee.
Milwaukee at Washington (-10.5) (WINNER!)
Wow, I swear this is the last huge spread I am throwing out. I can tell right now, these are all going to be stupid close at the end. Oh well, the Bucks are so bad, my God. I mean, they had some talent at the beginning of the year and somehow everyone sucked! Then you had Nat Wolters running things and, I don't know. If you combined the Bucks and the 76ers, they might be a competitive squad with 4 recognizable players. At this point, the Wiz are completely healthy and trying to fend off the Bobcats. The Bucks? Ersan Ilyasova, OUT; OJ Mayo, OUT; Larry Sanders, OUT; Carlos Delfino, OUT; Hell, NATE WOLTERS, OUT!!! The Bucks should lose by 25!!!
Miami at Atlanta (+5) (WINNER!)
I love the Hawks here. As a franchise, they are building towards a solid basketball culture. The Heat struggle with Paul Millsap for some reason and they are coming off a physical game against the Indiana Implosion Pacers. I like the Hawks at home.
Boston (+9) at Cleveland (WINNER!)
The Cavaliers should never be GIVING points. They are a disgusting basketball team and a cancer to the city of Cleveland and the league as a whole! Rondo will have a triple double tonight.
New Orleans at Houston (-14.5) (L)
Another steep line, so I apologize, but the Pelicañeros are done. They shut down Anthony Davis, Jrue Holiday is out for the year, Ryan Anderson is out for the year, Eric Gordon is having arthroscopic surgery AGAIN, and they can't make the playoffs. Even a D12less Rockets team should win by 45.
Phoenix (+4.5) at Dallas (WINNER!)
I know this is the wrong pick, you don't have to tell me twice. But before you slam my man parts in the door, think about this: How many times have you counted the Suns out this year, or said "no way" when they were playing a game they were supposed to lose?....Don't bet against the Suns! Especially when they are battling a team for a damn playoff spot!
Utah (+9.5) at Denver (WINNER!)
This is my bold, frost brewed (THIS SPONSORSHIP SPOT COULD BE YOURS) pick of the day. No one is picking Utah, including sharps. Well, fuck everybody. You're not telling me that a team led by Timmy Mozgov is going to dominate another Western Conference opponent. The Jazz should be much better. With Trey Burke, Alec Burcs, Derek Favors-Birk, Gordon Burkeley Hayward and Enis "BURRR so Icy"Kanter, the Jazz are suiting up a better team tonight. No Lawson, Chandler, McGee, Gallo or smart coach? Go Utah tonight.
Sacramento at Los Angeles Clippers (-11) (WINNER!)
Way too many points right? Yeah that's what I was thinking, especially since the Kings have played the Clippers so well this season! In 3 matchups, the margin has been 6 or less! So, as gamblers, do we roll with the "They always play the Clippers close" narrative or the "LA needs to win to stay in contention for the 2 seed" narrative? It's not a choice many are brave enough to make. I'm going LAC because Isaiah Thomas is injured, as is Rudy Gay (which really might be a plus for SacTown). CP3, Blake and Demarcus Cousins' frustration should be enough to get a massive win for the Clips.
Philadelphia at Charlotte (-12) (L)
I'm doing this one for Mr. Catz himself, because I know he would be looking at scores tonight saying, "Damn, I would've totally picked the Bobcats." Let's not forget my affinity for the Cats and the Raps this year, which have both been very fun to pick. Charlotte had a 5 game winning streak snapped by Boston, a game which I am going to look past because the Cats probably weren't expecting the Celtics to show up. I mean, why Celtics? Why are you trying to beat playoff teams?! Do you want to be stuck with Doug McDermott or Gary Harris in the draft? Not bad players, but not franchise changers. Anyways, the Cats are playing some good ball and Al Jefferson should hit for 30-10 tonight. That's a guarantee.
Milwaukee at Washington (-10.5) (WINNER!)
Wow, I swear this is the last huge spread I am throwing out. I can tell right now, these are all going to be stupid close at the end. Oh well, the Bucks are so bad, my God. I mean, they had some talent at the beginning of the year and somehow everyone sucked! Then you had Nat Wolters running things and, I don't know. If you combined the Bucks and the 76ers, they might be a competitive squad with 4 recognizable players. At this point, the Wiz are completely healthy and trying to fend off the Bobcats. The Bucks? Ersan Ilyasova, OUT; OJ Mayo, OUT; Larry Sanders, OUT; Carlos Delfino, OUT; Hell, NATE WOLTERS, OUT!!! The Bucks should lose by 25!!!
Miami at Atlanta (+5) (WINNER!)
Boston (+9) at Cleveland (WINNER!)
The Cavaliers should never be GIVING points. They are a disgusting basketball team and a cancer to the city of Cleveland and the league as a whole! Rondo will have a triple double tonight.
New Orleans at Houston (-14.5) (L)
Another steep line, so I apologize, but the Pelicañeros are done. They shut down Anthony Davis, Jrue Holiday is out for the year, Ryan Anderson is out for the year, Eric Gordon is having arthroscopic surgery AGAIN, and they can't make the playoffs. Even a D12less Rockets team should win by 45.
Phoenix (+4.5) at Dallas (WINNER!)
I know this is the wrong pick, you don't have to tell me twice. But before you slam my man parts in the door, think about this: How many times have you counted the Suns out this year, or said "no way" when they were playing a game they were supposed to lose?....Don't bet against the Suns! Especially when they are battling a team for a damn playoff spot!
Utah (+9.5) at Denver (WINNER!)
This is my bold, frost brewed (THIS SPONSORSHIP SPOT COULD BE YOURS) pick of the day. No one is picking Utah, including sharps. Well, fuck everybody. You're not telling me that a team led by Timmy Mozgov is going to dominate another Western Conference opponent. The Jazz should be much better. With Trey Burke, Alec Burcs, Derek Favors-Birk, Gordon Burkeley Hayward and Enis "BURRR so Icy"Kanter, the Jazz are suiting up a better team tonight. No Lawson, Chandler, McGee, Gallo or smart coach? Go Utah tonight.
Thursday, April 10, 2014
NBA Picks
Picks from Catz's Cove
SA (+1.5) at DAL (WINNER!)My initial reaction when looking at this spread was to go against the Spurs because the Mavs are in desperation mode and will be at their best for the rest of the season. Then I decided do I really want to go against a powerhouse Spurs team that has already won 3 games against the Mavs? Absolutely not. Take the Spurs and take the points, watch Pop win by twenty.
DEN (+12) at GS (WINNER!)
This game has the potential on paper to go terribly wrong. Golden State is great at home and playing well as of late. However the Nuggets have been solid as shit against the spread lately and I feel pretty good taking them to at least cover this game.
Thursday, April 3, 2014
Free NBA Picks
Thursday Tongue Tease
It's a TNT Thursday double header featuring four of the top teams in the Western Conference. Because of that we have decided to stay away from the spreads because these games are all toss ups and instead go with the surest thing we can find going over the lines! For tonight's teaser we will be using a five point tease which will all but a guarantee a two bet victory and tons of happy followers. (L)
SA at OKC over 208 teased to 203 (L)
I shouldn't have to do any explaining here. Both of these teams are offensive powerhouses and actually the original line of 208 seems a little low. I mean, yeah it's a big game and usually in these situations the teams tend to slow the pace and concentrate on individual possessions more, but do you really want to take under 201 when KD and Westbrook are on the floor looking to send a message? I didn't think so. Look for this one to be a high scoring affair as the Thunder snap the 18 game winning streak and show that whoever comes out of the west will have to get through OKC.
DAL at LAC over 211.5 teased to 206.5 (WINNER!)
The Clippers are coming off a tough fight against the Suns and return home to find a rested Dallas team at their doorstep. Dallas as I've said multiple times has to treat every game like it is a do or die matchup because the race for the 8th spot is incredibly tight. This one is not going to feature a lot of defense and the score should definitely end up in 115-113 shot fest.
SA at OKC over 208 teased to 203 (L)
I shouldn't have to do any explaining here. Both of these teams are offensive powerhouses and actually the original line of 208 seems a little low. I mean, yeah it's a big game and usually in these situations the teams tend to slow the pace and concentrate on individual possessions more, but do you really want to take under 201 when KD and Westbrook are on the floor looking to send a message? I didn't think so. Look for this one to be a high scoring affair as the Thunder snap the 18 game winning streak and show that whoever comes out of the west will have to get through OKC.
DAL at LAC over 211.5 teased to 206.5 (WINNER!)
The Clippers are coming off a tough fight against the Suns and return home to find a rested Dallas team at their doorstep. Dallas as I've said multiple times has to treat every game like it is a do or die matchup because the race for the 8th spot is incredibly tight. This one is not going to feature a lot of defense and the score should definitely end up in 115-113 shot fest.
Thursday, March 27, 2014
NBA Picks
BJ's Same Old Shit Thursday Picks
LA Lakers (+3) at Milwaukee Bucks (Push)
The Lakers have had a nightmare season this year. Pretty much everyone is injured, Mike D'Antoni doesn't give a shit anymore and the ownership group has more star power than the starting 5. One thing is clear, the Lakers still try harder than they should. Some of these guys are trying to stay in the league or stay in LA and the Mike D system is great for padding stats. The Lakeshitshow might get blown out tonight, but a tanking Bucks squad shouldn't be given any points.
LA Clippers (-1) at Dallas Mavericks (WINNER!)
Philadelphia at Houston (Under 215) (L)
I've been fooled by this one too many times. The 76ers suck at defense and play an insanely high paced game. This leads me to believe, on a nightly basis, that their games are going to go over. That shit doesn't happen. The Rockets might score 110 tonight, but Philly is only scoring 99, because D-League dudes can't play offense.
Wednesday, March 19, 2014
Wednesday Tag Team NBA Picks
BJ's Hot n Nasty NBA Picks
Utah @ Memphis (-11.5) (L)
The Jazz have really struggled against the spread when facing good teams as of late. Houston, San Antonio and Dallas all covered against the Jazz and I see no difference tonight in Grizz Town. Memphis has won 5 of their last 6 games and is in playoff mode here in the home stretch. The young Jazz will struggle with the defensive minded Grizz in a probable beat down.
Minnesota (+5) @ Dallas (WINNER!)
San Antonio (-13.5) @ Los Angeles Lakers (WINNER!)
How much analysis could you need to pick this? The Lakers are not good. Their defense is honestly so bad that they should be fined. The Spurs' offense is going to Tony Parker the shit out of LA tonight and that's that.
Bob's Under the Weather Extravaganza
Magic at Suns (UNDER 210) (WINNER!)
The Suns are not known for their defense, luckily for them the Magic are one of the worst scoring teams in the league especially on the road. Look for the Suns to come out shooting the lights out in the first half and put this one to bed early. The Suns might finish with 110, but the Magic will be lucky if they crack 90 securing an easy under win.
MIA at BOS (UNDER 198.5) (WINNER!)
The Heat are playing on the second night of a back to back and Lebron had a huge game last night. That means he is going to be deferring a lot tonight and racking up dimes all day. Look for the Heat to tighten up on the defensive end as this game ends in a 90-88 type finish.
SA at LAL (UNDER 221) (L)
This is probably the surest pick of the night. The Spurs are not the type of team that allows lesser teams to hang around or get the best of them. Look for them come out of the gates very hot to start and then they will clamp down defensively in the second half leading to a lopsided 101-78 victory.
The Suns are not known for their defense, luckily for them the Magic are one of the worst scoring teams in the league especially on the road. Look for the Suns to come out shooting the lights out in the first half and put this one to bed early. The Suns might finish with 110, but the Magic will be lucky if they crack 90 securing an easy under win.
MIA at BOS (UNDER 198.5) (WINNER!)
The Heat are playing on the second night of a back to back and Lebron had a huge game last night. That means he is going to be deferring a lot tonight and racking up dimes all day. Look for the Heat to tighten up on the defensive end as this game ends in a 90-88 type finish.
SA at LAL (UNDER 221) (L)
This is probably the surest pick of the night. The Spurs are not the type of team that allows lesser teams to hang around or get the best of them. Look for them come out of the gates very hot to start and then they will clamp down defensively in the second half leading to a lopsided 101-78 victory.
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