Showing posts with label playoffs. Show all posts
Showing posts with label playoffs. Show all posts

Wednesday, April 20, 2016

NBA 4/20 picks

CHA +4.5 vs MIA

The Heat won in blowout fashion a few nights ago, mostly due to the Hornets going with the very risky strategy of completely ignoring Luol Deng and letting him shoot open threes all night. Well unfortunately for the Hornets, that strategy backfired as Deng came back from NBA obscurity and delivered a thirty point victory for the Pat Riley's. Tonight expect at least one person on the floor to at least glance in the direction of Deng, hopefully limiting his wide open looks and helping the Catz even this series back up.

CLE -10.5 vs DET

The Pistons played out of their goddamn minds on Sunday and still lost to the Cavs because Tyronn Lue made a coach of the year type move and put K Love at the five during the fourth quarter. While it wasn't quite the Warriors small ball lineup of death, it was definitely effective at pulling the giant penguin away from the rim and getting open looks for Love at the 3-pt line when Dre tried to help out on drives. The only reason the Pistons even had a shot was because they shot the damn lights out in SVG's notorious 3 pt gunning offensive system. Look for the Pistons to cool off considerably tonight, as the Cavs steamroll to a 2-0 series lead.

LAC vs POR +8

If you watched game one, you saw a return to form for Blake Griffin, as he posterized Mason Plumlee over and over again like he thought it was Mozgov attempting to block his dunks. So all hope is lost for the undermanned Blazers right? Well, put that joint down for a minute and listen up you dirty hippie. Portlands backcourt averaged 45 points a game during the regular season, for a reason. Sure they aren't as good on the road as they are at home (probably because the weed isn't as good in LA), but expect a full effort tonight out of the backcourt of Rip City. Will they win the game? No probably not, but they should be able to cover the 8 points

Sunday, April 17, 2016

NBA Playoff Sunday Winners

CLE -10.5 vs DET

Since we never do picks on a Sunday, I figured why not stray away from the norm and roll favs that aren't exactly "sexy" picks. Because of the success of the Dubs this season, people have given up any hope for the Cavs to have a shot at winning LeBrons third ring. As a matter of fact a lot of people think this series is going to be competitive, as evidenced by the line getting bet down to 10.5 after opening at 11. We here at DP disagree that this series is even remotely close, and argue that all of this pressure not being placed on Cleveland is actually the best thing possible for their chances of a repeat title run. Sure Drummond and Jackson are fun to watch, but who's guarding Bron? KCP? Good luck with that Pistons fans.

MIA -4.5 vs CHA

Miami is somehow sneaky good this season despite being without Chris Bosh since the all star break. They have an odd collection of old and young players somehow combining to make a decently effective team. Of all the teams out East,  Miami has the greatest chance to do the impossible and prevent Bron from reaching his sixth straight finals. The Charlotte college all stars are a nice team, but they don't actually stand a chance in this series. Miami wins in 5, starting with a dominating opening performance tonight. 

POR +8 @ LAC
Despite the fact that Dame can't play against the Clippers, I have to roll the Blazers. They're a team with legit scorers, a good cast of role players and a coach that seems to know what he's doing half the time. I'll take that against the combustible clippers and Doc "I haven't done shit without Thibs on my staff" Rivers any day. 

Tuesday, April 12, 2016

NBA Playoff Best Bets

Sorry I've been off the last month from my daily bets on NBA games, but in all honesty the league sucked since Christmas. The Warriors are amazing, the Cavs are dysfunctional and Greg Popovich still hates reporters of every race, shape and size. But now with less than a week to go before the playoffs, the excitement is starting to build again as we look at the best bets to win back all of the money you lost on betting the Warriors under!

#1 Best Bet- Golden State Warriors -140!!

-140 to win 16 games and a title!! That's insane, even though they probably won't get challenged in the first two rounds. The question here really isn't whether or not they are going to win the title, the question is whether they lose a game in playoffs. In the later rounds against OKC, SA or LAC they might lose one or two total, but they are the surest bet this century to be representing the West come finals time. -140 isn't exactly the greatest way to turn your money into a retirement fund, but it's almost as sure of a bet as the Harlem Globetrotters against Washington Generals. 

#2 Best Bet- Cleveland Cavaliers +350

What??  Why the hell would you pick the Cavs as the second best bet to win the NBA title?? Over a Spurs team that won 65 games, and a Thunder squad with Tri Catz is obviously smoking that hippie lettuce again, because this pick is crazy!! Is it though? Sure, the Cavs have had a very up and down season with two lackluster showings against the defending champs, a coaching change, and LeBron using social media to act like a thirteen year old girl. But throw all that to the side like it was a bill demanding payment immediately, because the Cavs have looked good of late. Outside of a few nagging injuries they are also healthy, and oh yeah they have ZERO competition in the East. No offense to the Bostons, Torontos, and Miamis of the world, but they don't have the thoroughbreds that Cleveland does in Love, James, and Irving. The King could literally sit out the first two rounds and Cleveland would still be the favorites to come out of the east. Will they be able to beat the Warriors? Probably not, but you can never be sure when you have the best player in the last 15 years on the floor with a healthy squad that can score buckets. Remember, this Cavs team without Love and Irving was up 2-1 on this exact Warriors team last season. Now if they don't win or if they don't make the finals, this offseason gets very interesting with James...

Best Bet #3 - San Antonio Spurs +300

The team that just got blowed out by the Warriors in two games??? That's the team you think is the third best bet to win the finals? In the words of Greg Popovich, "that's a dumb question, next question". The Spurs don't give a shit about the regular season and don't reveal all of their cards during these games. To put it in terms of a poker context, the Spurs are the team holding pockets aces and the noob next to them thinks he's got the pot because he just flopped a set of kings...in other words there's still a lot of cards to be played, or in this case games to be decided. You would be stupid to think the Spurs can't hang with the Warriors based on a couple of regular season match ups. If San Antonio doesn't get upset by a super athletic Thunder or Clippers team, don't be surprised if they end up pushing the champs to seven games in the Western conference finals in a few months. Then they would be up against Bron and crew, and we all know what happens when Pop goes up against a LeBron team, it's like giving him a 1942 Chateu LeBlanc, he knows what to do with it.

Sunday, December 6, 2015

3 Early NBA Storylines and Trends

Three Early NBA Trends and Storylines

We are about 20 games into the 2015-16 NBA season, and despite the Golden State Warriors dominating the court and the headlines, this year's edition of the Association has many underrated plot twists and turns to keep even casual fans interested. With the usual stars out in full force (LeBron, Curry, Durant, Davis, Szczerbiak...) and some young blood added to the mix (Wiggins, Towns, Skinny Kyle Lowry) the NBA looks to be in good hands going forward. Today we'll take a look at some of the story lines dominating the league and delve deep into reasons, longevity and hype factor that drive each story. 

1) Golden State EVERYTHING

Curry MVP
MVP already? Crown his ass.
I don't care if this is the most talked about story in the NBA and possibly sports right now. What the hell are you supposed to do when one team has effectively broken a sport?! As of right now the Warriors are 21-0 and Steph Curry is running away with the MVP vote (while also jumping about 3 spots per day in GOAT conversation).  Let's start with league MVP Curry. He is averaging 32 ppg, 6 apg and 5 rpg while shooting 53% from the field, 46% from three and 93% from FT. The only thing we DO know about stopping Steph Curry is, you can't stop Steph Curry! So how the hell does this work, and who has a shot at beating this team? Well the best thing I can tell you is, it's the regular season. The Warriors are going to have to play a good team from the Western Conference from the second round on in the playoffs. A team with depth like the Los Angeles Clippers might have the chance to hang with the Warriors for 7 games. Much like the Spurs last few years, Golden State relies on the pick and roll to create matchup problems, leading to wide open threes. The one team that caused the Spurs problems during their latest run was the OKC Thunder. The Thunder were able to matchup with their small ball lineup and with their insane athelticism (Russell at the one, Durant at the four and Ibaka at the 5) the Thunder were able to switch on every screen and slow down San Antonio. These two teams could eventually foil the GS run this season, but it's all about winning a seven game series in the playoffs. Golden State has dominated the regular season thus far, but could one of these teams catch them in the playoffs? Probably not, but let's slow this train down before we eliminate every team out West.

Can it be sustained?
Going undefeated? No! But Golden State will certainly finish with the one seed barring some massive injury or suspension.

Draymond fight
Draymond has been causing matchup issues all year...he knows
The Big Question:
"What is the rest of the league going to do to slow this team down?"
Well a few things have been tested, and failed. The Clippers and Cavs both tried sending double teams at curry, but he's too good of a passer (as is the rest of the team) to be bothered by that. The Clippers recently tried getting physical with Curry as Chris Paul hounded him for an entire half. Turns out that didn't work! Not only is Curry stronger now, but this is not a one dimensional team! If Curry is getting "roughed up" he's going to become a creator and find other ways to dominate the game. So what's next? Foul him while he's inside the three point line? I don't think so. The only way a team will have a chance is if they go equally as small and are able to switch every screen. Let Draymond take 10 footers and drive to the hoop one on one maybe? Just don't let him get the ball off a pick and pass out a wide open corner three. Free layups, no threes? It's radical, but it might just work!

2) Paul George and the Indiana Pacers

Paul George leg
The video of George's leg breaking should never be viewed
The fact that Paul George is playing basketball is great. He was the hot young superstar that was going to be the next guy to dethrone LeBron James. Hell, he had passed up Kevin Durant as the number two guy in the league. Well all that went out the window during a Team USA exhibition game in which PG's leg snapped in half in one of the most gruesome injuries since Shaun Livingston did the same. Well, not only is YG Trece back, he's better than ever!!! George is averaging 27 ppg, 8 rpg and 4 assists as well as playing All NBA First Team defense. Oh and he just dropped a career high 48 on the Utah Jazz. Having George back and dominant is great for the league and fans of silky smooth scorers around the world. With George's suprising play comes another suprise: The Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers have opened the season as a top four team in the East while picking up wins against the Bulls, Clippers and Heat. Head coach Frank Vogel has moved his squad from the slow, plodding defense first vanilla fest to a run and gun, three shooting, deep benched machine! With PG at the helm, a slew of scorers to help take the load off (Monta Ellis, Rodney Stuckey) a resurgent CJ Miles and a solid defensive big man rotation, the Pacers could be one move away from once again being a thorn in LeBron's side.

Can it be sustained?
Not sure. Will PG be playing at the same level at the 60 game mark? Can guys like CJ Miles and Monta Ellis be depended on for a whole season? Something tells me this team is going to hit a rough patch around the All Star break, but maybe they could pull together a trade to add another name to this squad.

The Big Question:
"Can you trust Paul George after his last dance with superstardom?"
2013-14 was a rough year for George, the Pacers and everyone else involved. The collapse was spurred on by Roy Hibbert turning into the worst player in NBA history, Lance Stephenson doing all the Lance Stephenson things you don't want Lance Stephenson doing (you know what I mean) and Paul George just kind of fading into the background. After being anointed the second best player in the NBA, PG let a lot of people down with his very average play during the second half of that season. He seemed to return to form during the playoffs, but just couldn't reach that next level when his team needed it during the conference finals against LeBron and the Heat. That series culminated with PG scoring 7 points in a 23 point blowout to end the season. The basketball world might need to see George go off in the playoffs before accepting him as their basketball savior again. 

3) The Eastern Conference Sludge Pool of Mediocrity

Rose sad
Derek Rose is a big part of the Bulls identity crisis
Early on this season, it seems like the East has finally gained some ground on the West. Well...maybe. If anything, things have just gotten muddled and confusing. The Raptors may have taken a step back, the Wizards DEFINITELY took a step back, the Bucks haven't made a leap, the Celtics, Magic and Pistons are fun, young upstarts that pose no threat as a 7 or 8 seed and the Hornets are owned by Michael Jordan. Hell, if you look at the top of the Conference, the Cavs aren't a "sexy" team by any means (especially with the injuries). The Bulls are going through an identity crisis at the moment and the Heat have some glaring weaknesses despite a strong roster. So what the hell are supposed to make of all this?

Can it/will it be sustained?
History tells us yes. The Cavs are going to be at the top and barring some crazy meltdown/locker room cancer issue, the Bulls will be too. The Heat should be in the top 3 as well, but you can't count them in because of health issues. It looks like another top heavy year in the East.

The Big Question:
"Will the East correct itself?"
Teams like the Raptors and Wizards have too much star power to be middle of the pack in the East. Those two teams should be competing for a three seed at least, but it appears that coaching is getting in the way of that. Whether it be via trade or coaching change, one of these teams will compete for the three seed and have people talking by the All Star break.


Wednesday, May 27, 2015

NBA WCF

HOU  vs. GSW (-10)

This is probably the highest amount of points I've ever taken on a favorite in the long, storied history of Dirty Picks. Ironically this is also the least high I've ever been while taking such a risk. Though the idea of the Rockets being inspired by the recent tragedy that has affected the Houston area, I don't expect that inspiration to be sustainable. They could very well start this game off hot like they did in game 1 only for Steph Curry to catch fire and absolutely bury Houston. I heard a crazy stat on ESPN somewhere that Steph Curry has had almost half of his shots in this series come on uncontested looks!! Uncontested!!! Possibly the best shooter ever is getting wide open looks, that's never a good thing. Golden State wins and prepares to protect their castle against an invading King James.

Tuesday, May 26, 2015

ECF ELIMINATION!!

ATL +7.5 vs. CLE

I think the strongest evidence for taking the points here is what happened last night in the Warriors/Rockets series. The Rockets had been getting their ass kicked the entire series and managed to erupt (thanks in large part to Harden dropping a 40 burger on them) to a surprise game 4 victory. The only difference is that the Rockets were fortunate enough to be at home (albeit a very, wet home) and the Hawks are looking to steal in Cleveland. Also going against the Hawks? LeBron wants to end this series and enjoy 9 days of rest while the West figures out their representative. Those two things point to an absolute Cavs blowout right?? Not so fast. Consider this. The Hawks are pissed, they are on the verge of getting swept and have been embarrassed by future journeyman Matthew Dellavadova in two straight games now. I think they come out with just enough pride to get the job done tonight, and force the Cavs to take this one back to the ATL in order to end the series. Sorry LeBron, you don't get another two week vacation to get healthy before the Warriors roll in for the title fight. 

 

Friday, May 22, 2015

Cavs vs Hawks

CLE +1.5 vs ATL

I made the mistake the other night of betting against Cleveland, and then I watched JR Smiff hit some of the dumbest shots in the history of organized basketball. While I don't expect JR to replicate his astonishing game 1 feats, I actually expect a better team performance from the Cavs. Throw in that Demarre Carroll won't be hounding LeBron all night, and you have a recipe for a 2-0 Cavs lead heading back to the mistake by the lake.

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

NBA ECF

ATL (+1) vs. CLE

You know how LeBron does things. It usually takes him a game to get warmed up and get a good feel for what the other team is trying to do. This is his feel out game. Throw in that the Hawks will be hosting their first ever home game in the Eastern conference finals and you can see why this is a solid points grab. I expect the Cavs to win this series in six games, possibly even five depending on how game 2 goes...but don't be surprised if the Hawks take a game or two early to give the talking heads of the world something to pontificate on over the next few weeks.

Tuesday, May 19, 2015

NBA Draft & Conference Finals



NBA Draft Lottery



NYK +325; LAL +575

Either way here you're good. The NBA fixes the draft lottery and all of you sheep who don't believe in conspiracies better GTFO right now. What happened last year? Cavs won, LeBron went home, you mean to tell me that wasn't rigged? Buy that and I got a trunk full of original DaVinci sculptures that I'd like ya to take a look at . Seriously though anyone that thinks the NBA is going to go through another season where the two biggest markets are bottom five in talent desperately needs a wake up call. I know this ain't horse racin, but if I could I would even bet the Knicks get one, the Lakers get two and odds on favorite Minnesota gets the three hole. So good luck to both Karl Anthony Towns and Jahlil Okafor because after tonight you're going to either get yelled at by Kobe for a year or play in dinosaur offense with Phil Jackson and NY. Meanwhile the Wolves get Mudiay and roll out the best backcourt in the NBA in five years.

NBA Conference Finals 

Houston Rockets (+10) at Golden State Warriors
This could be a terrible, terrible series. The Rockets took advantage of one of the worst coaching jobs of all time and beat the Clippers to reach the conference finals. As Oklahoma City fans and Kevin Durant continue to pretend they don't miss James Harden, the Rocks are going to be looking for any slight advantage they can find as they get destroyed by the Warriors. Steph Curry has to be ROCK HARD knowing Jason Terry and James Harden are going to try to guard him all series, oh and Pablo Prigioni. Those poor dudes have no chance. Nevertheless, the Rockets might be able to keep this one close. Harden will need to cause some foul issues for the Rockets, but if the Warriors' bench plays half as well as they are capable of, Houston is fucked. 
Harden shoot

Catz: New series....Same old Catz. After closely examining these two teams, I've come to the conclusion that should be a relatively easily win for the Dubs in four or five games tops. So why the hell would I back the losing team? Because the Rockets have been hearing all week that no one is giving them a shot against the Warriors. Look for a spirited Harden effort to fall just short as the Splash bros make their way towards their first NBA finals appearance.

Saturday, May 9, 2015

NBA Grindhouse

ATL(-4.5) vs WAS

I feel really bad for the Wizards. After suffering through a terrible season with what could be the worst coach in the league, the Wizards seemed to be on their way to an eastern conference finals matchup after scoring an upset victory in ATL. Then John Wall's hand disintegrated into putty and now they are going to the lose to the Hawks in five. Real sad here for the Wizards, not sad that the Hawks only have to cover four!

GS at MEM (-4.5)
Dangerous line no doubt, but the grind house  is going to be on another level tonight as Memphis looks to keep the Warriors at a disadvantage in the series. I picked the grizz to come our of the west earlier this year and they might have a shot. They need Tony Allen to dominate Klay Thompson and they better hope Steph is a little bit off if they want to take 2 in a row.  Grizz win this game off crowd energy alone 

Wednesday, May 6, 2015

Playoffs Round 2, game 2

CHI vs. CLE (-6)

Initially there was no way I was gonna take the Cavs after their less than impressive showing Monday night where they lost by seven. Then I started reading some articles this morning and I realized that both Kyrie and LeBron are going to be angrier than a KKK member at an equal opportunity convention! These dudes are gonna go off. Look for Kyrie to drop 35 and LeBron to have a classic 15, 15, and 15 LeBron line; Cavs win this one big as D Rose struggles to keep his glass knees glued together on a short rest.

LAC  vs. HOU (-7.5)

So if I'm giving points in one game, what do you think the chances are that I would be stupid enough to do it twice? As it turns out, pretty damn stupid. I just can't talk myself into a team that is probably going to start Austin "Freakin" Rivers at the point!! Sure they won last game, but there is no way James Harden and crew lose two at home to start the series. Look for a convincing Rockets win.

Wednesday NHL Picks

Montreal @ Tampa - Game 3 
Pick: Montreal (+125)

This pick is easy for me.  The last time Carey Price got lit up he responded with a shutout.  Price got lit up to the likes of a 6-2 ass kicking last game.  I have a feeling he’s going to come out tonight and shut it down.  Montreal rolls on the road.


New York City @ Washington
Pick: New York (-120)


The Rangers are facing a 3-1 series deficit if they drop tonight’s game.  Every game in this series so far has been a battle.  The Rangers have said that this is the biggest game of their entire season.  I’m rolling with the experienced goaltenders tonight and sticking with Lundqvist.  Both road teams win.

Tuesday, May 5, 2015

NBA bounce back picks


WAS vs ATL (-6)

I liken this pick to sticking your finger back in an electrical socket after it shocks the fuck out of you. You know the old saying "get burned once, shame on me, dust yourself off and get back on the horse!"...or something like that. Anyway, the Wiz don't need this game and will be more than happy to take a 1-1 spilt back to chocolate city. Hopefully the triples fall and ATL is able to even up the series.

MEM (+10) vs GSW

Well the last time they played the line was 10.5 which the Warriors ended up covering...so that extra .5 is the different maker right?? Game changer!! Hopefully the Grizz muck it up, feed the post and are able to keep this game close enough to cover.

Saturday, May 2, 2015

May 2 Gambling

THE BIGGEST GAMBLING DAY EVER

Today is the biggest gambling day of all time! The Kentucky Derby! Mayweather-Pacquiao! NBA Game 7! Hell, I think the MLB might still exist! So today we are offering a boatload of picks and props for our loyal readers. Speaking of loyal readers, we want to thank you all for checking out DP throughout our short period of existence. Today we plan on hitting 100,000 VIEWS  which is a major accomplishment for any major news outlet or publication. As we continue to dominate the likes of Grantland, Yahoo, Fox Deportes and other illustrious media outlets, we will never forget our loyal readers who pay out the ass just to see our content. Thanks fuckerz!

NBA Western Conference Playoffs

LAC vs SAS (+2)

CATZ: You would think for a game seven there would be a ton more analysis and general waffling on my part right? Not today, as soon as I saw the Spurs were getting points in a game seven it was a pretty easy decision. This has been a really fun series, but if I'm gonna put actual cold hard cash on one of these teams, I feel way more comfortable with Pop, Duncan and Kawhi even if they are on the road. Spurs advance to play the Warriors, Dirty Picks moves on to the most important boxing match in history.

NUTZ: Totally agree with this pick for two reasons: 1) I don't trust the Clippers. This could be one of those games where CP3 plays great, but turns the ball over in some crucial situation down the stretch. Or maybe Deandre just does something really stupid. The Clips have a shit stain of a record screwing up these big games in the end. The Spurs know how to close it out at the end of a game (unless it's the Heat). 2) The Spurs are the Spurs. Until they completely turn their roster over and hire a new coach you have to ride with them and the points. 


Mayweather (-200) vs Pacquiao

The fight that saved boxing! Well at least it is supposed to. Regardless, the amount of money flowing in or around this match is insane. From the massive viewing parties, to actually buying a ticket to the event, this fight should stimulate the economy and keep Vegas in bidness for at least 10 more years. There isn't much to say for the actuall combat portion of this spectacle. Mayweather is the better fighter and has been. I don't like him at all, and I hope Manny kicks his ass, but if I'm betting: my money is on Money. 
MayPac

2015 Kentucky Derby 

Materiality (12/1): The fastest horse in the race! Seriously I saw some stats on this horse and apparently his speed figure is ridiculous! I don't know what the means, but I like the odds. Apparently he/she is a young horse and may freak out in a big race. So that's not good...




Tuesday, April 28, 2015

Western Conference Playoffs

HOU (-7.5) vs. DAL

OH NO!!! HAS HELL FROZEN OVER!??!?! ARE PIGS FLYING?? DID THE JETS FINALLY GET A FRANCHISE QB?? LOL...alright that's too ridiculous, but yeah Mr. Points Getter aka Bobby Catz decided to take one of the highest favorites I've ever gone with!! What makes it even more terrifying is that I expect this to be Dirks last game in an NBA uniform because he can barely move on defense and is getting torched even more than he usually does on that end. All this adds up to a Mavs win and they delay the inevitable conclusion for another night, right?? Nope...enter James Harden. Look for the Beard to drop 35 in the first half as he puts the Rockets way out in front and the Mavs struggle to play catch up for the rest of the night. Houston wins this game by thirty and the Rockets move on to the second round.

SAS (+2) vs LAC

This is a rough pick. I've been asking Catz what he's felt on this and we decided we have to roll the Spurs. These teams might be about even throughout the series, but when the Spurs have been on, they have been ON. According to ESPN, the Spurs are 23-8 in game fives since 1999. That's pretty damn impressive, and I think Pop knows they need to win this game. If they win this, the series is over.


Monday, April 27, 2015

Round 1 NBA

ATL vs. BKN (+4.5)

This pick is more of a "what I want to see" rather than a likely to happen cover. Atlanta has not looked like the team that rolled through the regular season a few months ago, whereas Brooklyn actually did things that made sense these last few games. Well, everything except playing Deron Williams more than 5mpg. If Brooklyn somehow ties this series up at two, I will definitely be that guy in the office telling everyone within earshot that I called that shit like two weeks ago.

MIL (+8.5) vs. CHI

This could be classified as "Nutz and Catz: Super Fish Line of the Week", but hold on a few more lines we will get to the real stink shortly. Milwaukee is such a fun team to watch play, mostly because the Greek Freak doesn't comply with the rules of gravity/nature that apply to nearly all other mortals. With all that being said, this line could definitely be dangerous. You know Chicago is going to come out super motivated after last games buzzer beater loss, and the Bucks swagger could lead to a ton of jacked up threes...but I still like the 8.5 here. These games have been far too close not to take this many points at home.

MEM vs. POR (-3)

LADIES AND GENTLEMEN: NUTZ AND CATZ SUPER STINKY FISH LINE OF THE DAY!! This line has such a pungent, sour smell that I might wrap it up in a grape swisher and smoke it! Seriously though folks, why is Rip City favored by three? What does Vegas know that the rest of us aren't privy to? One thing I've learned is always do the opposite of what Vegas is hoping, as the saying goes "Overpriced, tacky hotels don't get built on the back of good teams getting points!". I'm sure that's a saying, but either way Portland is definitely winning this game, probably in blowout fashion.

Wednesday, April 22, 2015

NBA Round One Winners

Brooklyn Nets (+9) at Atlanta Hawks

I think you all know our position on the Nets around here. They are the most boring story in the NBA, no one on their team is good and their owner literally does not care about the franchise. Tonight I am prepared to roll the Nets and nine points because of the mounting injury issues with the Hawks. Al Horford has a dislocated pinky, Thabo Sefolosha was shot by racist police and Paul Millsap's shoulder is super fucked up. This spells disaster for the feel-good story Hawks as Joe Johnson and D-Will come through with their only good game of the series before getting stomped out for the rest of the series.

Deron Williams


Portland Trail Blazers at Memphis Grizzlies (-6)

Sadly the Blazers have completely fallen off the map. The injury to Wes Matthews and mounting, nagging injuries to the rest of the squad has seen the Blazers lose 7 of their last 10. These aren't just regular ass losses, no, no, they are beat downs. 14 point loss to the Grizzlies, 6 point loss to Dallas, 11 point loss to OKC, 10 point loss to Brooklyn and so on. We typically don't roll the faves here, but fuck it.

Matthews injury


San Antonio Spurs (+2) at Los Angeles Clippers
Well this is it for the Spurs. They aren't a major story line, they are the so called "favorites" in this series and haven't really had a memorable moment all year. My concern with the Spurs is that they are so injured! Parker can't get to the rim, Splitter isn't playing and Danny Green looks like a guy that should be playing for CSK Moscow! The Spurs are the defending champs, so let's roll with them.

Monday, April 20, 2015

NBA Playoffs Round 1

MIL (+8) vs. CHI

The Bucks coming in to this series were being thrown around as a possible dark horse to pull of the upset mostly because The Greek Freak is so much damn fun to watch. Then they tipped off and D Rose turned in a performance that absolutely has to torture Bulls fans, not because he was so great, but because they know eventually he is going to get hurt again. Sorry to be the bearer of bad news Bulls fans, but that angst starts tonight as the Bucks turn in a solid performance and keep this one close enough to lose by five in the end.

NO (+12.5) @ GS

This line looks super high (420 joke!) and it is! Vegas jacked this bad boy up because they know people want to take the points, but then will talk themselves into GS winning by 25 because, hey, Steph Curry! The problem is, the 'cans have enough talent to keep this thing close in garbage time, just as we saw on Saturday. Anthony Davis found a weakness or two in the Warriors' defense and I think he will continue to dominate tonight as New Orleans keeps this one close, thanks to some monster garbage time performances. 
Anthony Davis Playoffs

Friday, April 17, 2015

Dirty Picks: Playoff Edition



Golden State Warriors vs. New Orleans Pelicans


Catz: Not sure why all of the talking heads think  that the Pelicans can steal one or even two of these games. I get "the brow" is a ridiculous NBA player, but look at the guards that Nawlins trots out there....marquee names that strike fear into an opponent like Tyreke, Norris Cole, or Eric Gordon. There's a good chance NOP doesn't even get a lead in this series let alone a win.

Nutz: I'm not going to be a dick like Catz and insult a team that just made it to the Western Conference playoffs with a young squad. But I am going to predict an absolute ass whoopin, the likes of hasn't been seen since Stone Cold Steve Austin wore the strap! The Dubs have incredible ball movement, a smart coach and an amazing backcourt. I also have a slight grudge against the 'Cans as they cost me a seafood buffet dinner by hitting the over this season. 

Consensus: Warriors in 4.

Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks


Catz: We went back and forth on this in the DP office, originally I was interested in picking HOU in 6 until Nutz brought up a few solid points and Sugar shocked the office with his Surgalski scoop that Dirk is going to shoot jumpers this series!! That's the kind of dynamite reporting we have around these parts. Because of all that info I was forced to reconsider my pick and I did....Rockets in 6.

Nutz:  Shit are we at IHOP?! CAUSE WE'VE BEEN WAFFLIN ON THIS PICK ALL DAY!!!!!!! Nothin? Ok, well I'm going Rockets here as well. The Rocks have dominated this matchup all year, mostly due to their perimeter domination. The Mavs, touting a guard lineup of Monta Ellis and The Man We Used To Call Rajon Rondo, won't have any success trying to guard James Harden and whoever else is out there. I was a little worried because Dirk lives for the playoffs and Rondo always saves his best performances for the the post season. Not to mention Rick Carlisle....shit....whatever, ROLL IT! Rockets in 6!

Consensus: Rockets in 6

Los Angeles Clippers vs. San Antonio Spurs


Catz: CATZ'S SUPER UPSET OF THE FIRST ROUND!! Not really an upset if you are one of those traditional seeding kind of guys, but we all know who is the favorite in this series. This is the Clippers championship right here, and they are going to put every ounce of effort in to winning this series. They might even lose the next series after this depending on who they play, but Blake, CP3 and DeAndre will score the upset against the defending champs!! Clippers in 7!!!

Nutz: I am going to give this one to the Spurs based on two things: I HATE the Clippers! Blake Griffin has become so whiny and bitchy that it's hard to watch him at this point. Pair that with super tough, bad ass supreme Matt Barnes (terrible basketball player) and you have a very unlikeable team. Second reason: They're the Spurs. You have to trust Pop, Duncan, Parker and to an extent, Manu. Just trust em. 

Catz: Clips in 7. Nutz: Spurs in 7.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies


Catz: Terrible matchup here for the Blazers. Maybe they would have a chance at winning a game or two if they were fully healthy, but they aren't so break out the brooms. Grindhouse is going to take care of business and the Blazers in relatively quick fashion. GRIZZ IN 4.

Nutz: This sucks! The Blazers busted their asses all season to get a top 3 seed, only for Aldridge to get hurt for an extended period of time and to lose Wes Matthews for the year. This team has done well to patch things up over the last few weeks, but they clearly miss Matthews. The Grizz are too much of a defensive juggernaut to survive a full series against the grind house. 

Catz: Memphis in 4. Nutz: Grizz in 6

Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets


Catz: This could honestly be the most one sided playoff series in recent history. The Hawks could literally start their second string and still end up sweeping this series. I hate the Nets. Garbage team owned by a guy who doesn't give a fuck (not you Hov EDITOR'S NOTE: "Hov" is no longer part of ownership. Catz apparently does not know this) and a couple of "stars" who didn't even care enough to respond when a former teammate basically called them pussies in the media. You think Lebron would respond if someone questioned his professionalism? Yeah that's not a great look D-Will, have fun in Shanghai next year. Hawks in 2.5...minutes that it takes to realize how lopsided this one is.

Nutz:  The Nets will probably somehow win a game in this series, but we all know they aren't going anywhere. Deron Williams is just terrible and Joe Johnson should be playing for the Pelicans right now. I seriously hate this franchise. They're boring as fuck, their unis suck and their arena and fans suck. If they didn't have Lionel Hollins there would be no reason for them to exist as a franchise. 

Consensus: Hawks in 4

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics



Catz: This is the worst possible matchup for the Celtics. They can't defend anyone from driving to the rim and the Cavs have two of the three best players at doing just that. Really the only positive that could come out of this series is if Brad Stevens is able to have a secret lunch with Kevin Love where he can pitch him wearing green next season. Enjoy the Lebron hates Boston show everybody. 
Cleveland in 4. 

Nutz: Am I the only one that thinks it's weird that Boston is in the playoffs?! I feel completely unprepared for this series! I have no clue who plays on this team (that's not true) but I definitely know that the Celtics will not win a game in this series. Brad Stevens is a good coach, but LeBron doesn't fuck around in the first round and Kevin Love needs to prove his worth for whatever team he hops to this summer! 

Consensus: Cavs in 4.


Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards


Catz: If this series featured the two teams that we watched back in December, my enthusiasm for these games would be much greater. Unfortunately for both Rapes and Wizards fans, these are not those teams. Injuries have basically destroyed the season for both teams, but it seems like the Raptors are taking the injury plague exceptionally hard. Meanwhile the Wizards have a very talented team that would be light years better if they had even a semi-competent coach at the helm. With all of that being said, I like the Raptors to win this series purely because their coach sucks a little bit less than the Wizards coach. Wiz in a sloppy 6.

Nutz: I have no idea how this one is going to go! These teams are the exact same! This is just "Default Eastern Conference Playoff series." I am going to roll with the Raptors! They have home court advantage, and a hellacious one at that. The Raps are a solid enough team to win this series in 6. 

Catz: Wiz in 6. Nutz: Raps in 6.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls


Catz: When I first checked out this series I wanted to make the case for Milwaukee because of their depth, coaching and GIANNIS!!! Then I really buckled down and thought to myself "the fucks going on here, I can't bet on Milwaukee to beat Chicago!!" That pretty much settled it for me. Milwaukee is a good story and should be a fun team to watch over the next couple of years, but this is a veteran-laden, well coached, tough Chicago team. J Kidd is about to get a rough teaching lesson from Thibs because it's Thibs and that's what he does. Chicago in 5. 

Nutz: Much like Catz I wanted to roll the Bucks because it's fun! But Thibs doesn't care for fun. He only cares about running his players into the damn ground until they can't go anymore! That's the formula for a dominant first round and a second round sweep ladies and gentleman!

Consensus: Chicago in 5

Monday, April 13, 2015

NHL Playoff Previews

2015 NHL Playoff Preview

The 2014-2015 season is in the books and the end was nothing short of spectacular.  I can’t remember a season where games 81 and 82 had more meaning for more teams.  Not only were teams fighting for playoff seeds but a number of them were fighting until the bitter end just to make the playoffs at all.  It’s been ten years since a salary cap was adopted by the league.  A decade later it is clearer than ever that the NHL achieved it’s goal of balance.  No longer are the days of buying a dream roster and making a run at the Cup.  The new era of the NHL challenges GM’s more than ever before.  Everyone working with the same amount of money puts tremendous importance in smart drafting, developing, and trading of players.  As we head into the post season it is easy to point out the favorites.  How much of a favorite are they really though?  The reality is every team in the playoffs, whether we like it or not, can beat any other team in the playoffs.  The playoffs are about storylines, hero’s, and teams sacrificing together to escalate their play to the highest levels they are capable of.  Which team will sacrifice enough this year?  Which team has the players, coaching, and possibly luck to go the distance?  Here is Sugar’s take on the playoffs with guest writer Jeff Lobman, a New York City native.


The West 


#1 Saint Louis vs #4 Minnesota
Prediction: Saint Louis, 5 Games

The fact that Minnesota is here is impressive.  They were thought by many to be down and out a couple months ago.  A horrible stretch of games between mid-December and late January saw them plummet in the division standings.  The life saver of this Wild team sits between the pipes.  Dean Dubnyk put on a clinic the last quarter of the season and catapulted ‘Sota into the playoffs.  Unfortunately they are up against a team that, when healthy, likes to score.. a lot.  The Blues seem to be healthy after resting some big names for minor injuries a lot at the end of the season.  The Blues’ offensive capabilities are extensive enough when world class goal scorer, Vladimir Tarasenko is on the ice by himself.   Then add in Steen, Oshie, and Backes and you're starring at an offensive onslaught.  Dubnyk will stand tall I think and come out stopping everything.  Eventually the Blues will crack him and this series will be won handedly by STL.


#2 Nashville vs #3 Chicago
Prediction: Nashville, 6 Games

Patrick Kane will not be in the line up for the Blackhawks and it just might drive him insane.  The Assistant Captain desperately wants to get back on the ice and there’s nothing he can do right now but wait and watch.  Nashville ascended to the very top the league for a large chunk of this season.  They have that perfect combination of veteran leadership and skilled young guns.  This is a team, a city, and a fan base that want the Cup more than they ever have before.  The Predators finally got things clicking on all cylinders in Nashville this year and they’ve been exciting to watch.  One of the biggest questions for Smashville will be how well high scoring rookie Filip Forsberg translates his regular season production to playoff hockey.  I think Nashville is finally going to make something substantial happen in the playoffs this season.  A first round exit would hurt them much more than it would Chicago at this point.


#1 Anaheim vs #4 Winnipeg
Prediction: Anaheim, 6 Games

This Ducks team faced diversity this season in the most unusual form.  After finishing 1st in the NHL last season in goals per game (3.21) not many would have expected this club’s biggest issue to be offensive production heading into this season.  It was however, as the Ducks saw their goals per game drop from 3.21 to 2.78.   Challenges have great capacity to deepen teams though.  There was more than a few unexpectedly close games where the depth of the roster was tested and the Ducks continually found ways to win.  Winnipeg knows a thing or two about finding a way to win also.  The Jets scratched and clawed their way into these playoffs.  They’ve had their ups and downs this season but once again, it just means they’re battled tested.  Winnipeg has been in playoff mode for about a month now and will be ready to come hard at the Ducks.  A comparison of rosters between these two makes the case for Winnipeg a tough one to make.  This Ducks team is as loaded as they come on the offensive side of the puck and they have a hungry group of guys.  Anaheim has a lot more to lose than Winnipeg and I think they will play like it.


#2 Vancouver vs #3 Calgary
Prediction: Calgary, 6 Games

Earlier this season we jumped on the Flames with reckless abandon.  The stretches where they would dominate some of the best teams in the league were somehow captivating enough where we literally forgot that they had lost any games this season.  Here’s what this series comes down to for me:  Who is Calgary?  They’re an underrated, highly skilled, and physical team with fantastic home ice advantage.  They’ve been silencing the haters all season long and it’s a role they’re familiar to.  Who is Vancouver?  They’re…Vancouver.  They USED to be unreal.  That wasn’t last year though.. or the year before that…or the year before that.  That was 4 years ago in 2011 when they made the finals.  The Sedin’s are not young bucks anymore and it’s no secret.  This is still their team though and Vancouver is still here, in the playoffs.  I think this series features a falling out of power vs a rising to power.  Calgary takes the battle for Western Canada.






The East 

#1 Montreal vs #4 Ottawa
Prediction: Montreal, 5 Games


Carey Price.  The man who just turned in one of the most impressive regular season campaigns we’ve seen out of a goalie in years.  It’s not uncommon to see a goalie lead the league in both SV% and GAA.  It is rare, however, to not only lead the league in those two categories but also take first in wins for goalies.  Carey Price did that this year and people noticed.  Montreal’s biggest star is the physical offensive machine known as PK Subban.  The Habs offense, while lacking in a traditional “big name” star, is potent and spread out nicely.   Subban provides a big push for the four lines Montreal likes to roll.  Ottawa is not to be taken lightly though.  To provide some insight into what the mindset of the Senators is heading into the playoffs I brought on a true Ottawa fan, Chad Vivian, @vivianinavan_:

“The Ottawa senators, backed staunchly by Hammond and the playoff resilient and veteran Craig Anderson, head into a heavy task in the Montreal Canadiens backed by the three line presence of their core, hoofed by Kyle Turris, Mark Stone, Zach Smith, Mika Zibanejad, and the seemjngly Hab-conquering French Intruder Jean-Gabriel Pageau. Aside from the shaky numbers late by Ryan, McArthur and Zibanejad, the Sens enter Montreal with the fire and rooster tail of victoriesneeded to overcome such a powerful environment.
In December, Ottawa was struggling to stay afloat, drifting right around equivalence in points to games played, but after the acquisition and infusion of a stellar rookie goaltender, the Hamburglar is shredding and searing nearly every group of NHL talent he faces, volleying the Senators to nearly 100 points and three games above a .500 season. 

The defense is definitely going to be where Ottawa must perform exemplary in order to help oust the power play strong Canadiens, and Erik Karlson must be able to only take 22-25 minutes of the alloted clock, as these are rapturous times and the new season will not be late to the unveiling of the Cup. He must be rested enough to be strong once teams like the New York Rangers or the Anaheim Ducks swarm the Canadien Tire Centre, pending his ability to well-contain through pressure Montreal, Tampa Bay, or Detroit.”


#2 Tampa vs #3 Detroit
Prediction: Tampa, 6 Games

Mike Babcock just gave Peter Mrazek the nod to start Game 1 between the pipes for Detroit.  It’s never a good sign when a team is forced to roll with the backup goalie heading into the playoffs.  The decision shouldn't come as much of a surprise to Wings’ fans; Howard’s play has been subpar down the stretch to say the least.  Tampa, lead by Stamkos, heads into this series looking to do some damage.  Detroit is struggling to keep the puck out of their own net and it couldn't be happening at a worse time.  Tampa’s top ranked offense just might have a field day on the Wings in the first series.  I expect Detroit to save face and make things interesting but ultimately Tampa will pull through.


#1 NY Rangers vs #4 Pittsburgh
Prediction: Rangers, 5 Games

The Penguins closed out the regular season in less than stellar form, winning 4 of their last 15 games.  What’s going on with Crosby & Co.?  Lackluster play by Fleury, and a sheer lack of offensive production down the stretch by the Pens is the reason they had to fight so hard just to make the playoffs.  The reality though, is you really can’t count Crosby out.  His haters (myself included) love to reference the “Cry Baby Crosby” days.  However, as difficult as it is to admit, Crosby is not a cry baby anymore.  He is 27 years old and plays the game of hockey like it’s what he was born to do.  So why the Rangers then?  Because the New York City Rangers are on a mission I believe.  A  mere deep playoff run will not satisfy their hunger this time.  This team, this group of guys, was there a year ago.  They sat and watched as the LA Kings hoisted their 2nd Cup in 3 years.  That kind of experience leaves a mark; the type of mark that lingers and evolves into an insatiable and unhealthy desire to deservedly touch Lord Stanley’s Cup.  The identity of this Rangers squad and their expectations can be summed up no better than how my good friend Jeff Lobman, @buhyuteelobs of New York City put it:

“In his second year behind the bench, Coach Alain Vigneualt has brought the team to the playoffs in astounding fashion once again. Grasping what his predecessor John Tortorella brought to the team with his defense first attitude he turned the style into an impressive hybrid seen nowhere else in the league. Unfortunately this has not transferred to the Power Play which continues to plague the Rangers year after year. If they plan to win the Cup this year the PP percentage in the playoffs is going to somehow need a miraculous turn around. The PK is fine at 85% but the Rangers need to find the twine in the playoffs on the power play. Rick Nash, Derek Stepan, and Marty St. Louis need to bear down if they want their names written on Lord Stanleys Cup. With a key addition in Keith Yandle I believe this is somewhat obtainable. The Rangers depth is something to seriously be considered. Four strong lines with some minor chinks in the armor as with all teams but they as their regular season record shows have been able to work through these kinks. Tanner Glass has been a player with much speculation especially amongst Ranger fans but I believe like Dan Carcillo last year, he will shine and show his worth. The Rangers arguably have the best Goalie lineup in the league. With Henrik coming back from injury in fine form and the proven talent of Cam Talbot I see no other team in the league with the skill between the pipes as the Rangers. Look out for Dominic Moore and Jesper Fast these playoffs as well. These guys have lots of skill and especially Moore with last years playoff experience can really prove their worth. Now as regards to the “stars” of the team. Rick Nash will need to continue his scoring if the Rangers really want to make a cup run. With Stepan feeding him the puck I believe this will be easily done. Ryan Mcdonaugh will need to stay strong on D with Marc Staal or Dan Girardi whoever he is lined up with. They have their work cut out for them against the penguins in the first round. As you go down the list of players the Rangers have its remarkable what GM Slather has put together. Finally these last two years he has been able to acquire the right group to reall make a run for it. As always just because you win the league during regluar season it means nothing April through June and the Rangers still have a lot to prove. Lets hope that Alain didnt bring the Vancouver curse of being astounding during the regular season just to collapse in the playoffs every year.”


#2 Washington vs #3 NY Islanders
Prediction: Washington, 6 Games

Ovi and the Caps head into this series firing on all cylinders.  As for the Islanders..well they have been playing like the old Islanders lately.  New York only won 4 out of their last 14 games of the season.  They are heading into the first round with a slew of questions to be answered.  This Islanders squad is new to playoff hockey.  They’ve had a taste in recent years, but it was just that: a taste.  This year their fans have expectations and their roster backs up those expectations.  The Capitals though. I’m just going to come right out with it: The Washington Capitals have to do something this year.  Each year that goes by, Ovechkin gets a year older and his window of opportunity to dominate his way to the Stanley Cup Finals is closing.  With the way the Islanders closed out the regular season I don’t see any way they can pose a legitimate threat to a Capitals team that has extremely high aspirations.